Earthquake Forecasting

Improving physics-based aftershock forecasts during the 2016–2017 Central Italy earthquake cascade

The 2016– 2017 Central Apennines earthquake sequence is a recent example of how damages from subsequent aftershocks can exceed those caused by the initial mainshock.

s.-mancini

The forecasting skill of Coulomb-based seismicity forecasting models during the 2010–2012 Canterbury, New Zealand, earthquake sequence

The static coulomb stress hypothesis is a widely known physical mechanism for earthquake triggering and thus a prime candidate for physics-based operational earthquake forecasting …

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Camilla Cattania

A parallel code to calculate seismicity evolution induced by time dependent, heterogeneous Coulomb stress changes

The estimation of space and time-dependent earthquake probabilities, including aftershock sequences, has received increased attention in recent years.

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Camilla Cattania

Aftershock triggering by postseismic stresses: A study based on Coulomb-rate-and-state models

The spatiotemporal clustering of earthquakes is a feature of medium- and short-term seismicity, indicating that earthquakes interact.

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Camilla Cattania

Propagation of Coulomb stress uncertainties in physics-based aftershock models

Stress transfer between earthquakes is recognized as a fundamental mechanism governing aftershock sequences.

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Camilla Cattania